McKinsey warns many employers will drop group health benefits by 2014

CHICAGO, June 7 (Reuters) – At least 30% of employers are likely to stop offering health insurance once provisions of the U.S. health care reform law kick in in 2014, according to a study by consultant McKinsey.

McKinsey, which based its projection on a survey of more than 1,300 employers of various sizes and industries and other proprietary research, found that 30% of employers will “definitely” or “probably” stop offering coverage in the years after 2014, when new medical insurance exchanges are supposed to be up and running.

“The shift away from employer-provided health insurance will be vastly greater than expected and will make sense for many companies and lower-income workers alike,” according to the study, published in McKinsey Quarterly.

“While the pace and timing are difficult to predict, McKinsey research points to a radical restructuring of employer-sponsored health benefits.”

Among employers with a high awareness of the health reform law, the number likely to drop health coverage for workers rises to more than 50%, the report predicted.

The numbers compare to a Congressional Budget Office estimate that only about 7% of employees currently covered by employer-sponsored plans will have to switch to subsidized-exchange policies in 2014, McKinsey said.

An Obama administration official said the McKinsey study contradicts other research, including studies by the Urban Institute and Rand Corp., that suggests the percentage of employees offered insurance by their employers will not change substantially under the Affordable Care Act.

In Massachusetts, where health reform uses a similar structure that includes an insurance exchange, a personal responsibility requirement and an employer responsibility requirement, the number of individuals with employer-sponsored insurance has increased, the official said.

The McKinsey study also found that at least 30% of employers would gain economically from dropping coverage even if they compensated employees for the change through other benefit offerings or higher salaries.

Losing employer-sponsored insurance would not prompt workers to leave their jobs, contrary to what many employers assume, McKinsey also predicted.

The study found more than 85% of employees would remain at their jobs even if their employer stopped offering insurance, although about 60% would expect increased compensation.

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New Reports Indicate Disturbing Trends for Costs and Employer-Sponsored Coverage

New Reports Indicate Disturbing Trends for Costs and Employer-Sponsored Coverage PriceWaterhouseCoopers (PwC) issued two new reports last week on the cost of health insurance and its resulting impact on employer-sponsored coverage. The first study shows that on average, employers can expect an 8.5 percent increase in their medical costs next year due in some part to the health care reform law. A separate survey of large employers released by the firm showed that as a result of PPACA and its cost-impact, many employers are being forced to make disturbing choices about their health benefit plans. The cost report report identified the following drivers as the reasons for the price increase: Consolidation among hospitals and physicians. Increased cost-shifting to private insurers by providers seeking to make up the difference between low Medicare and Medicaid reimbursements; and Stress-induced illnesses following the recession. “The big question is how much of the medical cost increase will be passed on to employees, as employers recognize the economic burden on their workers given that wages have been stagnant over the past few years,” PwC said. But the firm’s own employer survey, also released last week, answers some of those questions. According to that study, more than four in five (84%) employers are likely to make changes—e.g., raise premiums, deductibles, and co-payments—to offset increased costs. Other key takeaways include: More than five in six (86%) employer respondents are likely to re-evaluate their overall benefits strategy; More than half (51%) of employers did not expect to maintain “grandfathered” health status—meaning employees will forfeit their current health coverage and pay higher premiums as a result of federal mandates introduced on their new coverage; Nearly two in three employers (65%) expect to be affected by the “Cadillac” tax on employer health plans; Almost half (45%) of companies “indicated they were likely to change subsidies for employee medical coverage” as a result of the law—quite possibly “dumping” their employees on to government-run exchanges; and Exactly one-half (50%) are considering “significantly changing or eliminating company subsidies for dependent medical coverage.” The PWC survey covers primarily large employers—more than three-quarters of firm respondents have more than 500 active employees, and over a third have more than 5,000.

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Health Care Reform Insurance Voucher Provision Repealed in Last Minute Budget Deal

by Jerry Geisel, Business Insurance

 The budget deal, reached late Friday, narrowly averted a large-scale shutdown of the federal government after congressional leaders and the Obama administration agreed to a package that cuts about $38 billion in federal spending.

 The health care reform voucher provision was originally inserted in the health care reform measure by Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., as the legislation was working its way through Congress.  

“After weeks of closed-door negotiations to keep the federal government open, Free Choice Vouchers were placed on the chopping block even though there is no budget savings from cutting them this year,” Sen. Wyden wrote in an article published in the Huffington Post after he learned that budget negotiators agreed to repeal the voucher provision.

 How vouchers would work:

Under the provision, employees would have to meet two conditions to be entitled to the employer-funded vouchers: their family income could not exceed 400% of the federal poverty level, and the premium contributions their employers require them to make must be between 8% and 9.8% of their income.

If those conditions are met, those employees would be entitled to receive a voucher from their employers, and the value of the voucher would not be tied to the plan in which the employee was actually enrolled.

Instead, the voucher’s value would be equal to what the employer would pay if the employee were enrolled in whichever of its plans offered the “largest” premium contribution by the employer. Then, the employee could use the voucher to purchase health insurance coverage from a state health insurance exchange. The exchanges are authorized under the reform law and are supposed to be set up by 2014.

If the cost of a policy purchased by an employee through the exchange is less than the value of the voucher, the employee could pocket the difference in cash, which would be considered income and taxed.

Costly for employers

 

The provision, to go into effect in 2014, would have a huge and costly impact on employers with large numbers of low-paid workers-such as retailers-who are required to pay a high percentage of the premium.  And, depending on how the legislative language is interpreted in subsequent regulations, it also could prove costly to employers that offer employees a choice of health care plans ranging from relatively low-cost to very expensive plans.

 

Experts say the provision is almost certain to result in adverse selection, inflating employer costs. For example, a young, low-paid employee working for a company with a high concentration of older, less healthy and expensive-to-insure employees likely would receive a voucher whose value would be much higher than the cost of buying coverage in an exchange, especially if the employee purchased a lower-cost high-deductible plan. Underthe reform law, exchanges can base premiums on the age of policyholders.

As a result, employees remaining in the employer’s plan would be the most costly to insure, pushing up employers’ health insurance premium costs. Business lobbyists hailed the deletion. “Employers intensely dislike this provision,” said Gretchen Young, senior vp-health care for the ERISA Industry Committee in Washington.

The broader measure is expected to be considered by the House and Senate this week. Congressional negotiators hammering out a deal to slash tens of billions of dollars in federal spending have agreed to strip a provision in the health care reform law requiring employers to give low-paid employees company-paid vouchers to purchase coverage in state health insurance exchanges.

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U.S. Senate Passes Bill to Repeal PPACA’s 1099 Reporting Requirements

The U.S. Senate passed a bill April 5 that would repeal PPACA’s 1099 tax reporting requirement. The measure benefited from bipartisan support, passing on an 87-12 vote.

Under the reporting requirement, businesses would have to file a 1099 form for any person or company to whom they paid more than $600 in a tax year. It was slated to raise nearly $21 billion over 10 years by making it easier for the IRS to identify and pursue those who failed to report the required information.

The bill passed by the Senate makes up for that lost tax revenue by requiring consumers who enroll in the state health care exchanges slated to debut in 2014 to return money that the federal government overpays them for their coverage.

Under PPACA, the government will provide subsidies to those who enroll in the exchanges. 

The bill, which has already been approved by the House of Representatives, now goes to President Obama for his signature.

While he has said in the past that he supports repealing PPACA’s 1099 reporting requirement, he has not indicated that he supports any modifications to the law’s health insurance exchanges

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